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  • Improving consumer sentiment and deteriorating business | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    deteriorating business Posted on 2015 October 25 2015 October 25 The GKI Erste economic sentiment index continued to rise in October almost reaching its level at the end of 2014 According to the empirical survey consumer expectations improved significantly whereas the business confidence index deteriorated though optimism prevailed You can download the report from here You can download the survey data in Excel 2007 format from here You can reach the archive of survey summaries here Categories National Economy Tags economic expectations economic trend Post navigation Previous Previous post Forecasts of GKI for 2015 2016 Next Next post Slowdown continues You can reach the analyses here Economic sentiment index dissemination calendar Forecast for 2015 and 2016 2015 2016 GDP 2 7 2 3 Industry 7 0 5 0 Investment 0 5 0 Gross earnings 4 4 7 Inflation 0 1 0 8 You can reach the forecast here Newsletter Sign up here for our latest news Graph of the month Ask a question Please submit your question or tell us your opinion RSS FEED Focus GKI GROUP GKI Health Care Research Institute Ltd GKI Energy Research and Consulting Ltd GKI Consulting Ltd ABOUT GKI Economic Research Co H 1092 Budapest

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/2015/10/25/improving-consumer-sentiment-and-deteriorating-business/ (2016-02-16)
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  • Improving business, deteriorating consumer expectations | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    sentiment index adjusted for seasonal effects reached this year s peak however the degree of optimism was somewhat lower than at the end of last year According to the empirical survey conducted by GKI with the support of the EU in September business expectations reached their peak this year whereas consumer ones deteriorated to their lowest level in the past two years You can download the report from here You can download the survey data in Excel 2007 format from here You can reach the archive of survey summaries here Categories National Economy Tags economic expectations economic trend Post navigation Previous Previous post Slowdown started Next Next post Forecasts of GKI for 2015 2016 You can reach the analyses here Economic sentiment index dissemination calendar Forecast for 2015 and 2016 2015 2016 GDP 2 7 2 3 Industry 7 0 5 0 Investment 0 5 0 Gross earnings 4 4 7 Inflation 0 1 0 8 You can reach the forecast here Newsletter Sign up here for our latest news Graph of the month Ask a question Please submit your question or tell us your opinion RSS FEED Focus GKI GROUP GKI Health Care Research Institute Ltd GKI Energy Research

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/2015/09/20/improving-business-deteriorating-consumer-expectations/ (2016-02-16)
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  • Optimism has survived but not strengthened on the real estate market | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    market Posted on 2015 November 5 2015 November 5 Real estate market index of GKI referring to the capital is almost equal to the value which was measured a half year ago Index referring to Hungary is one point lower than it was in April of 2015 this change can be interpreted as stagnation Among the players of the Hungarian real estate market improving expectations could have been observed since the beginning of 2013 Though this favourable tendency is now over but the actual outlooks reflect optimism In Budapest and Eastern Hungary the residential market expectations slightly improved On the office space market the indexes decreased significantly but it is a natural negative correction after the exuberant optimism which was observed in 2014 and in the first half of 2015 On the retail space market there was no perceptible change Expectations referring to the ware house market have improved only in the capital House prices can increase significantly in Budapest and in Western Hungary in the next 12 months You can download the report from here You can download the index values from here Categories Sectors Tags real estate market expectations Post navigation Previous Previous post Slowdown continues Next Next post Business expectations slowly deteriorating consumer ones remaining at their peak You can reach the analyses here Economic sentiment index dissemination calendar Forecast for 2015 and 2016 2015 2016 GDP 2 7 2 3 Industry 7 0 5 0 Investment 0 5 0 Gross earnings 4 4 7 Inflation 0 1 0 8 You can reach the forecast here Newsletter Sign up here for our latest news Graph of the month Ask a question Please submit your question or tell us your opinion RSS FEED Focus GKI GROUP GKI Health Care Research Institute Ltd GKI Energy Research and Consulting Ltd

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/2015/11/05/optimism-has-survived-but-not-strengthened-on-the-real-estate-market/ (2016-02-16)
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  • Soaring indexes on the residential and office space markets | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    transactions did not show significant improvement in this period Results of the current survey reflect carrying on of the positive trends The value of real estate market index referring to Budapest is 114 in April of 2015 which is higher by almost 6 points than the same value measured in October of 2014 The value of real estate market index referring to Hungary now is 113 which is higher by almost 7 points than six month ago According to survey results expectations on the residential and office space market improved significantly while only stagnation can be experienced on the retail and warehouse markets You can download the report from here You can download the index values from here Categories Sectors Tags real estate market expectations Post navigation Previous Previous post Forecast of GKI for 2015 Next Next post Archive of survey reports You can reach the analyses here Economic sentiment index dissemination calendar Forecast for 2015 and 2016 2015 2016 GDP 2 7 2 3 Industry 7 0 5 0 Investment 0 5 0 Gross earnings 4 4 7 Inflation 0 1 0 8 You can reach the forecast here Newsletter Sign up here for our latest news Graph of

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/2015/04/29/soaring-indexes-on-the-residential-and-office-space-markets/ (2016-02-16)
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  • Economic Governance in a Calming (?) Storm | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    Lehmann s presentation by clicking to his name Program László AKAR Introduction András VÉRTES 20 years of GKI Crisis Management in the EU and in Hungary Elena FLORES director European Comittee DG ECFIN Alexander LEHMANN Lead Economist EBRD The Transformation of the Labour Market in the Crisis László ANDOR Commissioner European Commission Business Environment in Hungary László MOLNÁR CEO GKI Radován JELASITY Chairman and CEO Erste Bank György WÁBERER Chairman and CEO Waberer s International Round Table Discussion on Credibility and the Credit Péter Ákos BOD György BARCZA Csaba KAKOSY Péter FELCSUTI and András VÉRTES Moderator István MADÁR Some features of a new economic policy Gordon BAJNAI former Prime Minister Photoalbum Sponsors Media sponsors Categories National Economy Tags conference Post navigation Previous Previous post Stagnation after recession Next Next post The economics of reducing overheads You can reach the analyses here Economic sentiment index dissemination calendar Forecast for 2015 and 2016 2015 2016 GDP 2 7 2 3 Industry 7 0 5 0 Investment 0 5 0 Gross earnings 4 4 7 Inflation 0 1 0 8 You can reach the forecast here Newsletter Sign up here for our latest news Graph of the month Ask a question Please submit

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/2013/03/28/economic-governance-in-a-calming-storm/ (2016-02-16)
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  • Way out of the dead end | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    external particularly European negative factors Nevertheless the major causes are inherent in domestic policies in general and economic policy in particular They are rather complex and overlap each other Some elements of the legislation of the past 19 months contradicted to basic democratic and European values Appearance and reality diverged permanently in economic trends this is one of the major causes of the continuation of the excessive deficit procedure against Hungary in the EU The style of governance and the behavior of the government triggered first shock later soft warning and finally definite resistance from international and domestic political and economic partners The economy has reached a dead end from every aspect All these led to general and severe loss of confidence both in Hungary and abroad At present Hungary is the classic example of legal uncertainty unreliability and unpredictability in the whole world That s why investors do not want to finance the Hungarian economy at low interest rates that s why the business sphere is unwilling to invest that s why foreign and domestic capital is leaving Hungary that s why small and medium sized companies are suffering that s why men in the street transfer their savings abroad The present financial and solvency crisis is rooted basically in confidence and is of political nature and only secondarily has its roots in economic policy GKI has already stressed for many months that first institutional and legal changes are necessary International organizations too insist to them as a precondition of the start of negotiations since only corrections in the legal environment provide guarantee for genuine changes From the economic point of view the most important institutional and legal changes are as follows respecting the independence of the central bank return to the norms of the rule of law by restoring the competence of the Constitutional Court creating the future freedom of tax policy by modifying the law on financial stability implementing the conditions necessary for the autonomy of the Budgetary Council the practice of law proposals submitted by individual MP s rather by the government should be abolished each draft proposal should be discussed with the professionals and stakeholders concerned reasonable time should be ensured for those concerned for the adjustment to planned changes in the case of the introduction of necessary reforms and changes corrections in the laws approved of or submitted for approval should be made the tax system that was destroyed by quickly approved laws of poor quality should be cleaned in the pension system the first step should be the eliminations of the existing contradictions later the whole scheme should be revised It is obviously uncertain whether these changes would really take place According to GKI the financing of Hungary can be ensured by an agreement with the IMF the EU and the ECB Therefore it is probable that the major part of institutional and political changes will be accomplished Without it a financial and a government crisis is threatening and the later is likely

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/2012/01/18/post-way-out-of-the-dead-end/ (2016-02-16)
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  • Forecast until 2013 | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    to the level of the previous three years in 2011 2013 The recently published medium term forecast of GKI reveals among others that following an average annual decrease of 1 6 per cent in the 2008 2010 crisis period GDP will return to the level of the previous three years in 2011 2013 and it will even slightly exceed it with its annual 2 9 per rate This increase is essentially driven by export sales The weakness of domestic demand entails negative changes in the economic structure and a decline in services You can download the analysis from here Categories National Economy Tags economic growth economic policy EU forecast investment unemployment Post navigation Previous Previous post Statistics will improve Next Next post 3 new books in advance for the Hungarian EU Presidency You can reach the analyses here Economic sentiment index dissemination calendar Forecast for 2015 and 2016 2015 2016 GDP 2 7 2 3 Industry 7 0 5 0 Investment 0 5 0 Gross earnings 4 4 7 Inflation 0 1 0 8 You can reach the forecast here Newsletter Sign up here for our latest news Graph of the month Ask a question Please submit your question or

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/2011/07/14/post-forecast-until-2013/ (2016-02-16)
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  • EU | | GKI Gazdaságkutató Zrt.
    25 The Contribution of 16 European Think Tanks one of them is GKI Economic Research Co to the Polish Danish and Cypriot Trio Presidency of the European Union was published Read More Categories National Economy Tags EU Forecast until 2013 Posted on 2011 July 14 The recently published medium term forecast of GKI reveals among others that following an average annual decrease of 1 6 per cent in the 2008 2010 crisis period GDP will return to the level of the previous three years in 2011 2013 Read More Categories National Economy Tags economic growth economic policy EU forecast investment unemployment You can reach the analyses here Economic sentiment index dissemination calendar Forecast for 2015 and 2016 2015 2016 GDP 2 7 2 3 Industry 7 0 5 0 Investment 0 5 0 Gross earnings 4 4 7 Inflation 0 1 0 8 You can reach the forecast here Newsletter Sign up here for our latest news Graph of the month Ask a question Please submit your question or tell us your opinion RSS FEED Focus GKI GROUP GKI Health Care Research Institute Ltd GKI Energy Research and Consulting Ltd GKI Consulting Ltd ABOUT GKI Economic Research Co H 1092

    Original URL path: http://www.gki.hu/language/en/tag/eu-en/ (2016-02-16)
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